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Tuesday, February 27, 2024

Global Recession 2023: Know how it will affect India

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The CEBR projects that there will be a worldwide recession in the year 2023. According to the projections of some organizations, a global recession will begin in 2023. The various economies are being hurt by the newly implemented borrowing fees designed to combat inflation. The annual World Economic League Table compiled by a British consulting firm projects that the global economy would reach a plateau in 2023 as a result of governments’ efforts to combat rising costs, despite having reached $100 trillion in 2022.

This organization issued a warning in October stating that more than a third of the world’s economy will fail, and that there is a 25% risk that global GDP will increase by less than 2% in 2023, which would be the beginning of a worldwide recession.

By the year 2037, the global GDP will have tripled as less developed countries finally catch up. According to Bloomberg’s estimates, shifting power dynamics would result in East Asia and the Pacific producing more than a third of the world’s output by the year 2037, while Europe’s contribution will fall to less than a fifth of the global total.

According to the findings of the study, the economy of India would reach $10 trillion by the year 2035 and will rank third globally by the year 2032. A recession in the United States, which is a superpower, will have an effect on the rest of the world.  The crisis developed into a global economic catastrophe, which led to the collapse of European banks, decreases in stock markets, and significant losses in the Indian market.

As a result of the large number of outsourcing contracts that Indian companies held with US clients, the recent recession in the US economy was unwelcome news. Exports from India to the United States have gone up. The financial crisis that began in September 2008 hit India hard, yet the country managed to weather the storm.

Even before 2008, the Great Recession had already begun, with the earliest warning signals appearing in the form of a decline in housing values in 2006. As a direct response to the problem that was caused by subprime mortgages, the Federal Reserve injected a total of 24 billion dollars into the banking system by August of 2007. In October of 2008, Congress gave its approval for the $700 billion bank rescue. In February of 2009, a global depression was averted thanks to President Obama’s $787 billion economic stimulus plan.

India Made It Through the Worldwide Recession 2008. India was protected from the worldwide economic downturn by a number of factors. Because of its agrarian economy, India was able to avoid having widespread unemployment. The disastrous mortgage-backed securities and lending practices that brought down western financial institutions were largely disregarded by Indian banks.    

Exports of information technology and business process outsourcing were unaffected by the Great Recession, which had a significant impact on exports of physical goods. During the height of the financial crisis, FDI saw an increase.
When financiers departed India, plant and company owners who had been there for a long time continued business as usual.

This year’s questions and answers pertaining to the worldwide economic downturn are as follows:

Is it anticipated that we will enter a recession in the year 2023?

Ans. This year, the CEBR anticipates that there will be a worldwide recession. There will be a worldwide economic downturn in 2023. The various economies are being hurt by the newly implemented borrowing fees designed to combat inflation.

What will the state of the economy be like in 2023?

Ans. The annual economic prediction released by the IMF in October projected slower global growth in 2023. The invading Russian forces in Ukraine, COVID-19 in China, excessive inflation, and tighter monetary policy were the primary topics of discussion.

In the year 2023, what will the economy of the United States be like?

The answer is a growth rate of 0.9% per year on average between 2023 and 2024. The labor market has exceeded expectations. Even if the participation rate is expected to remain unchanged until 2022, the demand for workers is expected to remain at record highs.

Ques: How Global Recession 2023 will affect India?

Answer: India is considered a net importer. This is not to imply that the county would not be impacted by a global recession. But,  the degree of such effects is likely to be significantly less severe for India in comparison to its worldwide peers.


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